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THE RUNDOWN · COLUMN · NOV 7, 2020

Miami Is 6-1 And Nobody Feels Safe: The Hurricanes Have Built a Team That Can Only Win One Way

Miami Is 6-1 And Nobody Feels Safe: The Hurricanes Have Built a Team That Can Only Win One Way

Six and one. Say it out loud. Write it on the mirror. Six and one at Miami, in a season where half the country’s schedules melted into a puddle, with a Friday night road-style shootout in the win column against NC State. That is a real record. That is a record most Canes fans would have signed for in blood back in the summer, and anybody telling you otherwise is lying to your face for engagement.

And yet. Nobody in this fanbase is walking around light. Nobody is sleeping easy. Because if you actually watched that NC State game — 34 points surrendered, a backup quarterback moving the ball like he had a script, D’Eriq King throwing five touchdowns and 400-plus yards just to keep the thing from turning ugly — you already understand the thing this column is about.

Miami is 6-1 with exactly one way to win a football game. And a team with one way to win is a team that is one bad night away from the whole thing coming apart.

The Math Nobody Wants to Do

Let’s be blunt about what happened Friday. Miami gave up 34 points. To do that and still win, the offense had to produce a genuinely elite night from its quarterback. Five touchdown passes. Over 400 yards. That is not a “good game.” That is a career night for most quarterbacks in this sport. King had one, and the final margin was still close enough that you were chewing your knuckles in the fourth quarter.

Now flip it. What happens the night King is merely fine? Not bad — fine. Two touchdowns, 240 yards, one drive that stalls in the red zone, a tipped ball that turns into a pick. That is a completely normal, ordinary quarterback game. Every quarterback in America has three or four of those in a season. If Miami’s defense plays the way it played against NC State on one of those nights, Miami loses. Not close. Loses.

That’s the tightrope. The Hurricanes are 6-1 not because they are a complete football team, but because their quarterback has been dragging a leaking boat across the water with his bare hands. And this fanbase has been here before — 2017, remember? — where the record outruns the roster for about eight weeks and then reality sends the invoice all at once.

An Offense That Is Also Playing With One Hand

Here’s the uncomfortable second layer. Even the good side of the ball is not as deep as the box score makes it look.

Brevin Jordan sat out on the COVID list. One tight end. And you could feel the whole operation change — not just the pass-catching production, but the attitude. Jordan is the guy who plays with visible edge, the one who makes the offense feel like it’s coming after you rather than executing a call sheet. Take him off the field and Miami is still functional, still productive, but it plays a little more polite. That’s a swagger problem, and swagger problems are real at this school specifically.

Then there were the drops. Mark Pope and D’Eriq Wiggins both put balls on the ground that should have been points before halftime. One of them cost a touchdown outright. In a game decided by a possession-ish margin, those aren’t footnotes — those are the difference between “gritty win” and “comfortable win,” and the difference between “comfortable win” and “loss” the week the drops come with an interception attached.

And the play-calling isn’t helping the margin either. First down after first down out of the gun, run up the middle, live in second-and-eight. When your quarterback is the single best player on the field by a wide margin, the answer is to put more of the game in his hands, not less — let him get to the line, read what he’s looking at, and get out of a bad call. Every drive where Miami runs into a stacked box on first down is a drive where the offense voluntarily gives back the one enormous advantage it has.

The Defense Isn’t Talent — It’s Structure

Here’s where I’ll push back on the loudest version of the takes flying around. The problem with this defense is not that the cupboard is bare. Corey Couch has been the one guy consistently showing up and making plays, and you don’t get that out of a roster with nothing on it. Bubba Bolden is a real player who had a bad rep on the opening touchdown — soft tackle, wrong angle — but a real player has bad reps.

What you’re watching is not a talent failure. It’s a structure failure. Blown blitz assignments. Guys taking angles that make sense only if they’ve misidentified where the ball is going. Undisciplined eyes. That’s not “we don’t have dudes,” that’s “our dudes don’t know exactly what they’re supposed to be doing at full speed.” Those are different problems with different fixes, and pretending they’re the same is how fanbases end up screaming for the wrong guy’s head.

Which brings us to the second-half tell. When Manny Diaz visibly took the wheel — and everyone watching could see it — the unit calmed down. Same players. Same opponent. Same field. Different clarity. That is the loudest possible piece of evidence about where the failure lives, and the most damning thing about it is that it’s evidence available in the second half of the seventh game of the season instead of in August.

The Real Question Isn’t Blake Baker. It’s Manny Diaz.

So everybody’s arguing about whether Diaz should rip the headset off Blake Baker. Fine. But that argument is a distraction from the harder one.

Manny Diaz’s entire professional identity is defense. That’s the job he was hired to do at Miami the first time. That’s the reputation that got him the head chair. If the defense is a mess in November of a 6-1 season, the answer isn’t just “who’s calling it” — it’s “why did the head coach, whose one specialty is this exact unit, let it get here?”

Taking the play sheet in the second half of a Friday night shootout is an emergency measure. It works, and everyone cheers, and it also quietly admits that something has been wrong for weeks. If Diaz can fix this unit by simply being more present, then the honest read is that he should have been that present from Week 1 — and the fix for the rest of the season isn’t a firing, it’s a permanent reallocation of his own attention.

What 6-1 Actually Buys You

Here’s the optimistic close, because this is a Canes column and we don’t do funerals in November of a winning season.

6-1 buys you time. It buys you a season that still means something in December. It buys you the ability to fix the defense in-season without the fix being a referendum on the whole program. Most importantly, it buys you the discovery that when the head coach leans in, the defense responds — which is a far better problem to have than “we leaned in and nothing changed.”

But it doesn’t buy you a pass. This team’s floor is dangerously low, and the only thing keeping it off the ground is a quarterback having the best stretch of his career. Get Jordan back. Get the drops cleaned up. Get King unshackled at the line. And get Manny Diaz standing over this defense every single snap from kickoff, not from the second-half emergency.

Do that and 6-1 turns into something worth remembering. Don’t, and it turns into the record we point at later while explaining how it all fell apart.

This take grew out of the November 7, 2020 episode of the show, where the family got loud about all of it — the King praise, the defensive frustration, and who exactly should have the headset the rest of the way.

This take grew out of the November 7, 2020 episode — watch it here: Miami Hurricanes U TALK LIVE-59