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THE RUNDOWN · COLUMN · APR 1, 2023

Spring Ball Isn’t a Ceremony: Why Miami’s 2023 Depth Chart Should Be Written in Pencil

There is a phrase that shows up every March and April in college football, and it should make every Miami fan’s neck itch: we know who our guys are. It sounds like confidence. It sounds like a program that has its house in order. What it actually is, most of the time, is a coaching staff telling you it has stopped looking.

Miami cannot afford to stop looking. Not this spring. Not with this roster. Not with a head coach whose runway is short enough that you can see the end of it from the tarmac.

The Difference Between Installing and Evaluating

Here is the tension at the center of Miami’s spring, and it is not a small one. Mario Cristobal has said the offense is roughly 85 percent installed. Lance Guidry, running the defense, has said every job is a daily competition. Those are two completely different philosophies of what spring practice is for, and they are being run about forty yards apart on the same field.

Installation is about the playbook. It assumes you know the personnel and you are teaching them a system. Evaluation is about the people. It assumes the system is flexible and you are finding out who can actually execute it when a defensive end is running free. One of those is a March activity. The other is an August activity. Miami is doing them in the wrong order on one side of the ball.

And look — being ahead on install is not automatically bad. There is a version of this where a staff in year two has continuity, has the same coordinator, has veterans who ran the concepts last fall, and can genuinely be that far along. That is not Miami. Miami has a new offensive coordinator in Shannon Dawson. Miami has injuries thinning out practice reps. Miami has a roster still learning how a Cristobal spring even feels. When the variables are that unsettled, being 85 percent installed doesn’t mean you’re ahead. It means you’re guessing about the 15 percent that actually decides games.

The Quarterback Question Nobody Wants to Ask Out Loud

The cleanest place to see this play out is at quarterback, because that is where the temptation to crown somebody is strongest.

Tyler Van Dyke has been described as a perfect match for Dawson’s offense. Maybe he is. Van Dyke at his 2021 peak was as good as any quarterback in this league, and there is no shame in building around a guy who has already shown you a ceiling. But “perfect match” is a scouting conclusion, and you do not get to reach a scouting conclusion in March about a pairing that has never taken a live snap together in a real game.

Meanwhile there is Jacurri Brown, who came in when Miami needed him last season and did not look overwhelmed. He moves. He extends plays. He is the kind of quarterback who turns a busted protection into six yards instead of a sack — and if you watched Miami’s offensive line last season, you understand exactly why that skill is not a novelty item. It is load-bearing.

I am not writing this to say Brown should start. I am writing this to say the question deserves a real answer produced by real reps, not a preseason narrative that gets locked in before the pads even get interesting. If Van Dyke is the guy, let him prove it against Miami’s own defense in April and take the job for real. That is better for him too. Nothing corrodes a locker room faster than a starter everybody suspects was handed the job by press conference.

Where Open Competition Actually Pays Off

Miami has proof of concept for this, and it is recent. Look at what happened at safety last year, where Kamren Kinchens went from a name most casual fans could not place to an All-America-caliber player in a single season. Nobody scripted that in March. He earned it in reps, and the staff was paying enough attention to notice.

That is the entire argument. The best thing that happened to Miami’s defense last year was a player the depth chart had not accounted for. If you finish your evaluation in the spring, you never find that player again.

So who is the candidate this time? Wesley Bissainthe is the name I keep landing on. Linebacker is where Miami is making a real philosophical change with the addition of Derek Nicholson, who at 36 is close enough to the modern game to teach it rather than reminisce about it. Nicholson has been around real football — Florida State as a player, Southern Miss, Alabama State, and most recently Power Five duty at Louisville. That is a coach who has had to develop guys, not just inherit five-stars. If Bissainthe is going to take the leap, this is the room and this is the voice.

Up front, the same logic applies to Akheem Mesidor and Rueben Bain. Both are legitimate breakout candidates, and both benefit enormously from a defensive staff that says openly that jobs are earned daily. Guidry saying every rep is a competition is not coach-speak — it is the mechanism by which a roster full of talent that has underachieved starts sorting itself into something functional.

The Clock Is the Whole Point

Here is why this matters more at Miami than it would somewhere else. Cristobal’s window is not open-ended. Two more years and one more recruiting class is the honest read on how much rope a coach at this program gets before the conversation turns ugly. That is not a hot take, that is arithmetic.

And a short window changes the correct strategy. When you have five years, you can afford to bet on a known commodity, develop him slowly, and eat a mediocre season while the system settles. When you have two, you cannot leave a better answer sitting on the bench because you decided in March that you already had one. Miami’s margin for error is thin enough that the difference between the second-best option and the best option at three or four positions is the difference between a bowl game nobody remembers and a season that buys real time.

The good news is that this is a fixable posture, not a fatal one. Nothing that gets said in a spring press conference is binding. Cristobal can walk into fall camp, look at what the tape actually says, and reopen every job he wants to reopen. Guidry has already built that expectation into how his side of the ball operates. The offense just has to be willing to do the same thing.

Write It in Pencil

Miami’s basketball programs — both of them — are alive in Final Fours right now, and there is a lesson in that for the football building. Neither of those teams got there on reputation or on preseason projections. They got there because the guys who were playing the best were the guys on the floor.

That is all any of us are asking for in April. Not chaos. Not a manufactured quarterback controversy for content. Just a depth chart written in pencil until August, and a staff that keeps looking right up until the moment the first game clock starts.

This take grew out of a conversation on this week’s U Talk Live, where the room got into it over what spring ball is actually supposed to accomplish. Worth your time if you want to hear the argument in full.

This take grew out of the April 1, 2023 episode — watch it here: Miami Hurricanes U TALK LIVE-167